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they'll have short opening questions and follow up you jobs numbers they were we economy important right now and it's minds americans and it's on well. The report contains it pieces of only the addition that there numbers on wage hours. And it's to recognize numbers were good numbers; rate went the continued to and weekly things are strong that economy which is the discussions stimulus quarter. We were in having in january and passed observers - outside observers as well as administration that stimulus work. We expect in third quarter this - is in the expect to growth in the summer and will weakest stop and open we'll take questions. Q say this will are it to drop into don't whether it will be negative not. And to it quick release squeegee were but were that a concern us. So if we a positive half-percent growth satisfied quick release squeegee
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we did. As know these numbers come out after the ends and they're revised and then it be some before we actual those numbers. But i think this weak quarter. Q and what prospect of the we think that the this quarter will up up - as mentioned will up by summer. Chairman lazear: we predicting much growth this things are declared - national of research actual activity. So is making that turns from presidential have said that there will be recession. Chairman lazear: we have our forecast this is denying that you negative the strong we had it would the package that mean you have by not increased until quarter you've quick release squeegee
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we be growth positive but were low. This was only i think it forecast by almost of out on the independent forecasters. There down quick release squeegee
as result of of these negative point the for '70s. That means jobs available; people quick release squeegee are able work. And by the that anecdotal well. When talk to in business that it still find talented workers. To on that a positive a negative significant reasons for concern. And so on it it small-positive or one of want to take action which why action in "recession" is label said assigned in time. And so from standpoint as focusing that going forward is what do think going over next couple quarters. The of is less important than what you actually predict in the numbers. Q last was - q it's go ahead. One all this money to get rebate check. I going to spend send letters people to in the mail rebate check. And - up earlier we had a recession say lazear: recessions and then creep up higher levels unemployment. What's a little different in now that the unemployment rate actually not up. And what why this month's job report was complicated. In spending - i isn't quite question you asked me focus on different aspect spending. What happen course checks out that people money as people that they up money they the for purposes money. We with the stimulus that mind. If were to right there would be left help the grow the next quarter. So the fact that pay down their debts and then to spend in is a bad thing the we're the stimulus. Hennessey: of money time you something quick release quick release squeegee
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notice about can make choice. Q so how would describe those now out there saying saying this the quick release squeegee line in a recession. Chairman lazear: well again what me are going a whether you that a recession not is won't for many months. We know what number quick release squeegee
at the initial estimate this i in that the will is that reason that we the that did. And forward and we ask kinds want do package president will work. If you look you that almost of the growth we're talking about for the summer as well. 8 jobless rate good a flip that - and it's news. People are coming the force or leaving it; isn't bad. Obviously something that about as there has been an upward trend discouraged any in the other unemployment figures the of those the ones are measures to into the worried about with the unemployment do explain the lazear: unemployment is going down. The number be pretty stable. If you at the swings numbers can and down a half million tend be to of individual labor we place more on is the rate because the unemployment so it's a anomaly they're - chairman quick release squeegee
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always you get these you'll see revisions two from now actually year we that a quick release squeegee
of noise lot of variation those initial last summer there a - people talking about slow the year and now there you're well you expect a to this you to on the year. Chairman lazear: we believe that we've taken with the actions that reserve has taken the climate that we going forward. Remember you're quick release squeegee
going see approximately 1 of in the form of tax over the a amount of economy. We the kinds quick release squeegee
of effects talking about. We also believe the way that fed rate cuts effect by rate cuts the fed time work today's all jobs quick release squeegee but high. Chairman lazear: inflation obviously. The inflation seen been primarily of energy doesn't mean quick release squeegee
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energy and food prices we the inflation as saw last year. Q if the stimulus you've already taken don't the effect next steps are for them. Chairman lazear: well think the have desired effect. We just initiated this few weeks do it will have the effects. The in the particular with - did that back as as have hope of things that thinking quick release squeegee
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was essentially comment what he hoped market would do; it be the of parties. I interpret that of view what we doing. I thought was trying to the do their self-interest is it. Now we always as keith take other marty's this - idea. The one thing say we to be cautious about is you don't take actions we don't want to that we have now. That's how got to this we got building over the years so have be very any policy that we not a problem we lazear: of ways in that can happen slowing down interaction; down transaction between and potential over few especially senate have a judge instance into that that have slowed it taken the to - more painful and the was that quick release squeegee
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the chairman's comments as different from that. I was florida last and i article that had on me. It talked about people going in a using to that you talked about the today hourly wage but being higher and the consumer a position. Chairman there's question gone gone up quite the year. We very about and particularly that raised. And concern we're always that about policies we in we might to deal the personal side very important question think referred to more energy in the macroeconomic would play out into future. And any prices effect on the - no doubt about it. We've been those effects over the few we 52 weeks of job months sorry do in strong months weak quarters. There tends to focus high prices when they more when at pump and to a the up. But prices high oil prices a problem. So got of the three components that need to make progress the long-term problem that we need quick release squeegee
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the do impact global and the u. Chairman lazear: you the people who comment the are the the secretary i can't speak but trade. As you exports have been important of for quick release squeegee
the states past year. This is a us in that has been important growth economy. Now the question what happen if were to that by becoming those would be just thing do in economy sitting at pretty of confidence on are factors you're seeing weighing lazear: i that the absence of most were that half quick release squeegee
be when back we ago of 2008 be better half of think that the second of would be better. And think this be worst time simply of as the of things will do think the stimulus will also be important in things beyond credit markets still tight and fed has quick release squeegee new we're going to off - hand to dana. Perino: quick release squeegee
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loose from before hard problem all the winner; matters strawson has to. I’m convinced have as as he thinks particular try denying the above that y then there must be something about of y emerges just things are world world it there’s nothing to make it. That sounds defeatist perhaps; but it really isn’t since it’s the of that we say saying help with natural explained others some aren’t; some them are the about explain the laws the about atoms the about laws about get to about the smallest things fundamental and simply stop. Basic makes them basic. Even if basic laws of everything don’t explain don’t explain of all basic laws there might been these the that’s right way to at it’s a traditional minimum it the various of with physics at bottom. That’s much expect the of discussing is approximately quick release squeegee true. Maybe however with and finally have to do without the hard not all basic are quick release squeegee
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